What category does Hindsight Bias belong to?

Hindsight Bias belongs to the "Cognitive Biases" category in personal knowledge management and productivity.

What are the key topics related to Hindsight Bias?

Key topics related to Hindsight Bias include: cognitive-biases, cognition, memories, psychology.

What are alternative names for Hindsight Bias?

Hindsight Bias is also known as: Creeping determinism, Knew-it-all-along effect.

Hindsight Bias

The tendency to see past events as having been predictable.

Also known as: Creeping determinism, Knew-it-all-along effect

Category: Cognitive Biases

Tags: cognitive-biases, cognition, memories, psychology

Explanation

Hindsight Bias is the tendency, after an event has occurred, to see it as having been predictable even when there was no way to predict it. 'I knew it all along.' This bias distorts memory and makes us overconfident in our ability to predict future events. For learning and PKM, hindsight bias can make us undervalue documentation - we forget how uncertain things were at decision time. Capturing reasoning contemporaneously preserves the actual uncertainty faced.

Related Concepts

Confirmation Bias
Journaling
Narrative Fallacy

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